In response to an ongoing discussion on keeping kids at school or releasing them, guest blogger RJ Hilton had the following thoughts:
Every
solution to a problem has consequences. In the case of tornadoes,
gathering people in one location increases the impact if something goes
wrong. It does however reduce substantially the potential of threat
exposure to the student body as a whole. The alternative of sending
people home substantially increases the exposure period and the range of
potential direct encounter to the point it’s unlikely some individuals
could avoid one. As with any procedure, the more you have to do, the
more chances of something going wrong. Consider the steps required to
complete each process.
Moving students to a specific location or
group of locations is a localized and immediate process with very
little required in the way of external information before making a
decision. It also involves no direct threat exposure. The alternative
requires a series of detailed bits of information often unique to each
student. The process is time consuming with a number of variables which
creates a lot of unknowns.
If you’re in an area were tornadoes
are rare then an administrator has the luxury of making a decision very
early in the process, since it would likely only affect one school day.
In an area where severe storm events and tornadoes are common, an
administrator can’t afford to be sending people home at every indication
of a storm. This means their window of opportunity to avoid an
encounter decreases as time goes by.
Increasing the difficulty of
the situation is the fact that administrators can’t just send everyone
home arbitrarily. They have to decide which students are better off
going home and which aren’t. Even if you have a list of students who
have parents that are normally at home, you would have to confirm they
were that particular day. If you’re lucky enough to have up-to-date
phone numbers, it would still take some period of time to make the
calls, not minutes. (Unless your district has a reverse-911 system.)
We must also consider, storms don’t have
schedules, they can often accelerate in intensity much more rapidly then
any one would expect. And once the decision has been made to take
students home, how long will the process take can't be known for sure.
In addition it's not just getting students delivered but getting school
personnel back to safety. The process of moving students in less then
ideal conditions opens up additional variables and hazards, not usually
encountered on a normal day. Tornadoes are situations where time is
essential, yet the potential for delays increase substantially due to the
nature of the storms that precede them. Traffic or accidents could
potentially leave students stranded and left in a dangerous situation.
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RJ makes some excellent points here. I particularly think the comments on decision making and logistics are helpful to people. These comments also have applicability to other types of crisis situaitons as well.
ReplyDeleteThanks for the great thoughts!